Grass court tennis enjoyed a prolonged season with an extra week of preparation for the second year. The illustrious Wimbledon Championship is here now to cap the season in which we have seen surprising grass tournament winners in Thiem, Mayer and Johnson. The extra week of grass tennis will help to increase the title contenders in the upcoming years. However, in 2016 it is hard to see past another Djokovic v. Murray final. Let’s hope we get to see a competitive tournament in which Djokovic and Murray are tested along the way.
With Djokovic and Murray hard to ignore for a final berth, value can first be found at the outright quarter betting. Two serious contenders to Murray and Djokovic are arguably Roanic and Kyrgios. These two grass court specialist are both expected to face the nr 1 and 2 in the world in 4th round match ups. This means the other two quarters of the draw are much more likely to see an upset winner, with Federer the fav in quarter 2 and Wawrinka the fav in quarter 3, and I am happy to take them two on.
Quarter 2 Outright Tip
Steve Johnson is on a nice run, after winning Nottingham. With Federer too short a fav at 1.83 in this quarter of the draw, someone like Johnson can be a steal at 41.00. Johnson has the serve to hold comfortably and he found his love for grass court tennis this season. His half of the quarter, has Federer, but before facing Federer he will be favourite in match ups against Chardy and Simon. Beating Federer would not be a longshot and I find the players in the bottom half of this quarter more dangerous than Federer, with Cilic, Nishikori, Karlovic and Muller all contenders to make the quarter final.
Back Steve Johnson at 41.00 at Bet365 (no each way option)
Quarter 3 Outright Tip
This quarter is wide open. I look forward to a likely 4th round between Zverev and Thiem and Wawrinka can already be eliminated in Round 2 against Del Potro. The Argentine can even come out of this quarter after showing signs of a full return in the past months.
Odds are out again after Thursday’s full day of play. And as predicted this quarter is wide open. Thiem has fallen and some of the players left are too short to back. The player who took out Thiem, Jiri Vesely is in with a real chance to be the surprise in this quarter. With his strong serve he is hard to break and he showed against Thiem his noticeable mental strenght when it comes to tie breaks. He is available at 26 at Skybet.
Back Jiri Vesely at 26.00 at Skybet (no each way option)