Full schedule this week on the ATP tour with 3 tournaments. Difference surfaces and most players scheduled their tournaments based on their best predicted outcomes. Albeit, Nishikori playing in Buenos Aires, must have had some commercial reasons, as the two time Memphis winner, has to adjust to Clay for limited time before traveling back North for the US early season hard court swing.
Rotterdam suffered a barrage of cancellations and we end up with a wide open field and perhaps another unlikely winner after Klizan in 2016.
Memphis sees all the top servers unite for the dry air and hard courts in Tennessee, with a field loaded with American 10-100 ranked players.
Buenos Aires’ schedule is comprised of the South Americans and Southern European players but with no Nadal, it looks to be an open tournament.
ATP 500 Rotterdam
I love the golden oldies for betting purpose. I sided with Lorenzo in last week’s Quito tournament and he fell at the last hurdle but another veteran did win the title with Estrella remaining undefeated in Quito.
With the depleted field, I side with Gilles Simon. He has had success here in the past and his draw is favourable. Simon shown continued fitness in 2017 and is full of confidence. As he is a player who won’t beat himself, it will take an excellent performance from an opponent to see a match through with Gilou. He is the only excellent value out there for the outright each way win.
Back Gilles Simon €10 Each way 26.00 at StanJames
ATP 250 Memphis
There is not much between the favourites here and I would not be confident picking any of the below 10.00 odds. The field >10, a clear contender is Ryan Harrison. He comes off a Dallas CH victory in very comfortable fashion. He will be hard to beat this tournament and contains all the value in the main draw.
Back Ryan Harrison €10 Each way 19.00 at Bet365
ATP 250 Buenos Aires
Nishikori is the main favourite. However, his fitness levels are always questionable and I doubt his appetite for a long run in this tournament, which will be his first Clay tournament of 2017. He is too short for my likening with a tough second round against Schwartzman and Delbonis next followed by possibly Ferrer.
Talking about Ferrer, he is one player I prefer to take on everytime. The player who I expect will be in for a surprise is Fabio Fognini. He has shown interest in this tournament in the past with a final in 2014. Mentally I expect him to be in a good place, with a baby on its way with his wife Flavia Pennetta. His draw is tough but Fabio in a good mood can beat anyone on Clay.
The bottom half is much weaker than the top half. The favs here are Ramos and Cuevas. However, both have not impressed lately and I like to side with an outsider for each way value. Gastao Elias is an obvious candidate on his preferred Clay with a good start to 2017.
Back Fabio Fognini €10 Each way 17.00 at Ladbrokes
Back Gastao Elias €10 Each way at 81.00 at Betfred